e-discovery 2.0

There is no bigger idea in enterprise technology than the idea of “cloud computing“. What does it mean? Simply put, the idea is that enterprises will cease to buy hardware, software, and all the headaches that come with them. Instead, companies will rent whatever applications they need and access them over the internet. Software vendors will keep their applications on a pool of shared infrastructure (the “cloud”), which will automatically allocate resources between applications according to demand. Using a common analogy, we will move from today’s world where companies are buying and building their own electricity generators, to a world where there are power companies distributing electricity over a grid.

To get a sense for how this might happen, just take a look at the CRM market. Ten years ago, Siebel and other packaged software vendors were among the fastest growing companies in America. Today, they are shrinking as customers migrate en masse to, for example, salesforce.com’s cloud-based approach. One Wall Street analyst I spoke to last week forecast that hosted (i.e., cloud-based) applications will grow their market share from 12% to 21% by 2011, and account for all growth in the market.

E-discovery is no exception to this mega-trend, and I expect a portion of the litigation software business to move to the cloud. How quickly this happens depends on how easy it is for companies to adopt cloud-based e-discovery solutions, which is why Google’s recent moves into e-discovery are so significant.

Google is by far the largest cloud computing company in the world. Its cloud-based Google Apps suite of applications was only launched in 2007, but is already being used by several hundred thousand businesses and, Google tells me, 2,000 new businesses sign up every day. Today, the customers are mainly small to medium sized businesses (500-5,000 employees). But as its functionality improves, larger companies will increasingly start asking why they should pay for Microsoft Office when cheaper alternatives exist.

Talking to Bill Kee, a product marketing manager at Google, it’s clear the biggest gap in Google Apps’ functionality was the lack of enterprise features around security, compliance, and e-discovery. That’s why Google acquired Postini, a leader in messaging security. It’s why Google recently launched Message Discovery, a hosted archive that comes bundled into Google Apps Premier Edition. And it’s why Google is collaborating with Clearwell to educate the market on cloud-based e-discovery solutions.

If you are interested in learning more about “e-discovery in the cloud”, register for a free webinar which we are hosting with Google on June 3.

Two announcements from Google caught my eye on Tuesday: one that would make investigators’ life more difficult, and another that would make it easier. Since the first is more humorous, it appears to have got more attention; but it’s the second that’s much more significant.

In his post introducing Google Message Discovery, Bill Kee explains that it’s a hosted email archiving service that captures every message, enforces retention policies, and (no surprise!) provides comprehensive search functionality. It comes included in Google Apps Premier Edition, and its cost starts at $25 per mailbox per year.

This is an interesting move when viewed in a broader context. In the enterprise market, Google Apps is seeking to do to Microsoft Office/Exchange what salesforce.com did to Siebel – i.e., provide 80% of the functionality at 20% of the cost. The beach-head for Google into the enterprise is Gmail: if enterprises adopt that as their email platform, then adoption of other Google applications will quickly follow. But enterprises are reluctant to embrace Gmail until it provides enterprise class security, anti-spam, anti-virus, etc. What Google is saying with Message Discovery is that “must-have” list of functionality also includes email archiving.

My view is that the list of functionality that enterprises expect from their email systems also includes e-discovery. It’s great to have keyword search on an archive, but that only gets you a first cut of the data that’s potentially responsive to a case. If your only choice is to then send all of that to a service provider for processing, then you will likely give up the cost savings that prompted you to adopt Gmail in the first place. Conversely, if you can de-duplicate, filter, analyze, and review the information to cull it down to only the small set of relevant data prior to exporting it out of Gmail, then you build on the cost and functionality advantages that Gmail has over its competitors.

My guess is that the clever folks at Google already know this. After all, why else would they call their new email archive “Google Message Discovery” as opposed to “Google Message Archiving”?

UPDATE: Since writing this post, I have received additional information suggesting that this deal was NOT for Zantaz’s Desktop Legal Hold product, as previously reported. Please see comments section for full details.

I must confess, I was skeptical when ZANTAZ announced its new desktop legal hold solution without a single reference customer. But events have proved me wrong:

On January 3^rd, Autonomy (ZANTAZ’s parent company) let slip in a UK publication that that “an unnamed major international bank” had purchased ZANTAZ’s “compliance and regulatory solutions” for an eye-popping $70 million. Later reports confirmed the number, and provided more detail: Citigroup will pay ZANTAZ $70 million over 4 years for Desktop Legal Hold.

Citigroup is an existing ZANTAZ customer with a lot of data in Digital Safe. My guess is that the deal covered much more than just Desktop Legal Hold, and that many of the scheduled payments are tied to performance milestones. But regardless, this is a spectacular transaction (perhaps the largest ever e-discovery software deal?) and I offer the ZANTAZ team my hearty congratulations.

Beyond being good news for ZANTAZ, the deal has broader significance in two regards:

1. It confirms that the sub-prime mortgage crisis is driving demand for e-discovery software. That syncs with my own experience with several of our financial services customers;
   
2. It may spur other archiving vendors to add desktop legal hold solutions to their product portfolios, so that they are not at a competitive disadvantage to ZANTAZ.

This deal will also accelerate Autonomy’s increasing focus on e-discovery. In its core market of enterprise search, Autonomy is caught between a “rock” (Google) and a hard place (Microsoft, which announced the acquisition of Autonomy’s larger competitor, FAST). Moving towards e-discovery is the obvious way Autonomy can avoid getting crushed by the giants. I expect more news about Aungate is coming soon.

People get married for a million different reasons. Some do it for love; some for a green card; some because their parents tell them to; and others just because it is time to settle down. So it is with corporate mergers, where many different motives come into play. When I heard about Autonomy’s acquisition of ZANTAZ for $375M on July 3, I could not help wondering what had led to their marriage.

In announcing their union, the happy couple explained that the #1 reason is to achieve “significant scale in a number of key financial areas”. A second reason is that combining the companies will lead to cost savings of $25M per year. In other words, according to the companies, it is a love marriage, in a similar vein to Veritas’ acquisition of ZANTAZ’s main competitor, KVS, in 2004. In that case, Veritas paid 10x trailing revenue for an industry leading product to which it then added tremendous value by building out distribution in the US.

In this case though, the evidence does not support a love story. ZANTAZ is already doing $100M in revenue, so adding Autonomy’s $260M in annual sales does not exactly propel it into a different league. If cost savings are the motivation, then why run ZANTAZ as a separate subsidiary instead of integrating it with Autonomy more closely? Two other things also arouse suspicion: timing and price. On timing, I have to ask: who makes a major announcement on July 3 when half the country is on holiday and the other half can only think about fireworks and hot dogs? Either Autonomy/ZANTAZ’s PR departments are incompetent, or they are trying to downplay the whole thing. Second, on price, why is it so low? ZANTAZ sold itself for 3.75X trailing revenue, a fraction of KVS’ multiple and less than the 4-6X revenue that CommVault and Guidance trade at today.

The story makes more sense as a marriage of convenience. Consider what buyer and seller each get from the deal:

• Autonomy: It is easy to understand why Autonomy is a willing buyer. As my friend Dave Kellogg likes to say, their core business of enterprise search is caught between a “rock” (known as Google Enterprise Search) and a “hard place” (custom apps leveraging open source components like Lucene and MySQL). Yes, Autonomy continues to have the occasional good quarter, but long term their revenue will likely trend down. In that situation, management only has a couple of options. One is to bulk up, for example, by giving up 11% of the company to increase its revenue by 38%, which is what the ZANTAZ deal does. A second option is to diversify into new, growth markets where Google is unlikely to follow, like email archiving and e-discovery. Again, ZANTAZ fits the bill.
• ZANTAZ: In many ways, ZANTAZ is a remarkable company. Having spoken to some of its early investors, management team, and employees, I have huge respect for the way that they weathered the technology downturn early in the decade and built the company back up. The company grew rapidly on the back of big deals for tape restoration into Digital Safe (hosted archive). When ZANTAZ saw the on-site archiving market grow, it added EAS via a smart acquisition. The problem is, having done all that, shareholders had no way of realizing a return. The public market is not interested in the low-margin hosting business that provides the bulk of ZANTAZ’s revenue; for larger companies who want to acquire an archiving product, there are many cheaper, less complicated options. Enter Autonomy who, if nothing else, can provide ZANTAZ’s patient shareholders with liquidity.

Missing from this analysis is any mention of the value Autonomy will add to ZANTAZ’s business, mainly because I cannot think of any. Best case, it leaves ZANTAZ alone, as EMC wisely did with VMWare; worst case, it merges Aungate and the IDOL platform with ZANTAZ and they spend the next few months debating how to reconcile the product roadmaps.

None of this is to say that the marriage will not be successful. As anyone who has seen When Harry Met Sally can tell you, there is no single formula for a successful marriage. I, for one, certainly wish the happy couple well.

We love investing in technologies and business models that are able to shrink existing markets. If your company can take $5 of revenue from a competitor for every $1 you earn – let’s talk! – First Round Capital

At first glance, this statement may not make much sense, but I think it is actually quite profound. The idea becomes clearer when you think of it from the perspective of a customer. To paraphrase: if you can save a customer $5 by charging them $1, you have a great business. Yes, you will shrink the market, but you will blow your competition out of the water. Consider some examples:

• A small business hungry for leads pays about $1.40 for each call (or unqualified lead) it gets from placing an advertisement in the Yellow Pages, and it has to pay for the ad up front. Compare that to an average cost of 40c per click (or unqualified lead) on Google AdWords – and the 40c is only paid if someone clicks;
• When I took a 2 day trip to Guyana in March, it cost my wife 87c a minute to call my hotel using AT&T. Compare that to 28.6c a minute she could pay for the exact same call using Jajah;
• It must cost over $50 (I’m guessing) to place a personal ad in a newspaper. Compare that to a zero cost for the same ad on Craig’s List. And based on my experience, Craig’s List is more effective (I know someone who met their fiancée on Craig’s List, but have yet to meet anyone for whom a newspaper worked out);
• Many companies doing e-discovery gather data based on custodians, date ranges, and keywords and send it out to service providers like Applied Discovery or Kroll at $2,000 per GB – and then wait weeks for the results. Compare that to paying $200 per GB for a (E-Discovery 2.0) product that enables you to analyze the data in-house – and gives you the results in hours.

All this begs an obvious question: how can someone offer customers the same (or, in many cases, more) value at a fraction of the cost of existing players? That’s where new technology or business models come in. Google and Craig’s List do not spend money on printing and distributing huge volumes of paper; Jajah avoids connection fees and other costs by leveraging VoIP; and, E-Discovery 2.0 products leverage the latest innovations in search, open source, web and storage technologies.

It is ironic that the technology industry is so obsessed by growth, given that its greatest achievement is often shrinking a market.